Friday, March 8, 2024

Delta County Commissioner (March 5th, 2024): Veterans, Parks and Airports

No point in going into specific depth because you can watch it yourself. I think there must be some cat nip in the salt n pepper shakers or something. Despite the verbal jostling there was some discussion on veterans which is great and on some concerns. Could potentially be an issue of mismanagement but one cannot say for sure unless an official investigation occurs. 

-Lady feels that she wants to take care of elder veterans and feels they should hire someone to help. (How to thank a veteran.)

-Gentleman want to ensure everyone make decisions for the community. 

-Training and development.

-Veterans Health Admin bring package forward. Millage to fund veterans.

-A new park area with some discussion on wetlands. Pavilion and parking lot.

-Conservation approvals to work projects. Complaint against discrimination of the county as land owner. 

-Concerns on confidentiality. Commotion. 

-Voting cost. 

-Referral to FAA based on investigation findings. Unanimous vote.

February 2024 Employment Numbers 275K: Opportunities and Data Trends

The Feb employment numbers have been released and it indicates there are still economic adjustments occurring that are for the most part making their way through the economic supply system. We could also be reaching a point of market saturation of labor so we may want to increase productivity and technology to maximize the human capital we have. There is room for training, education, and broad based opportunities.

Furthermore, We also have a new immigrant labor problem to deal with so we may consider pathways to help them move into productive work to grease the small business and other hiring needs that haven't been filled. Of course those being from the stock that we desire to retain versus deporting.

 (Not a discussion on how to do that or if its politically acceptable. Large pools of entry labor can be an untapped labor resource for the military, small business, service and manufacturing. Vetting workers for work visas could get them paying taxes and contributing. That doesn't solve the problem of newcomers or those who may not have a positive influence on our country. We still must manage the boarder flow in a bi-partisan way.

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing" (BEA Employment Rate, Feb 2024, para 1).

Reviewing the table below you can find reasonable bumps in construction, transportation and warehousing, healthcare, private service, and leisure. Understanding these tables tells you about unemployment trends, which industries are picking up and which are slowing. Keep in mind these are short term numbers but trends can form over time. They can also change. So you have to keep on top of the economic news to envision what may be happening.

What does all that mean? What do you think?







Thursday, March 7, 2024

Fire Calamity May Have Opened Up Investment Lots in Escanaba: Schumpeter Opportunities

A fire broke out and opened a hole in our hearts like it did in our downtown. Even though the building is a loss, it does open a new spot for new ideas and through the old comes something new. Escanaba is on an investment upswing and sometimes calamity brings new opportunities. It is the cycle of life and the economy when the old is replaced by the new (Schumpeter Creative Destruction)

With growth in local industrial and vacation interest and investment this can be a chance to develop something interesting to further Esky's global alignment. Developing these open spots could lead to parity with other development opportunities so that they enhance interest in both. The new development sites and the park are within 10 blocks of each other. Directly in the middle of downtown. Google Map

My argument has been to coordinate efforts to attract entrepreneurs that want to service the local public as well develop their businesses for exporting products (Best of both worlds. A functioning downtown and exporting products/services to draw in more wealth to the area. Sometimes they move on to create new businesses. Getting them here first makes a big difference. That requires thinking about what attracts entrepreneurs, grants, financing, community, etc.)

This is the time interested investors could think about being part of the process of building an emerging hot spot! Why sit on the sidelines when you can create? 🤔 Escanaba Commercial, Innovation Delta County, Cancun Esky!, WW. Oliver Start Your Business, DC Hedge Fund, Attracting Adventure SME.

If your interested in these sites or others I would contact the DDA right away and maybe they can help find some good prospects for you. Escanaba DDA

Btw...the local firefighters did a great job tackling this fire and battled the blaze. If you want to volunteer and donate consider contacting Escanaba Public Safety or Escanaba Twp. Fire Department. Get involved in your community! Fire Video

What’s next for vacant lots and empty buildings in downtown Escanaba



Federal Reserve Getting More Confident of an Interest Rate Cut

The rate cut is something that economists, investors, business owners, and even regular people salivate over. Pavlov would be jealous at the conditioning! State the word "rate cut" loud enough and its an EF Hutton  moment. Rate cuts spur spending and other economic activities and that can lead to growth in the right market. 

(In my theory I'm working on a rate cut like this basically increases the width and depth of financial and physical/digital transactions throughout economic networks and speeds up the economy based on infrastructure functionality. Other theories say almost the same thing but that leads to the validity of my transactional sub aspects of the theory. Basically means other theories come to a similar conclusion using at least a slightly different method.)

I was reading some leading BEA stats on unemployment rates and I thought "Maybe it would be a good time for a small rate cut".

Went along my digital nomad day and then checked the news and came across this article 'Fed's Powell: "Not far" from confidence needed to cut rates' Some unemployment and other factors such as declining inflation might might lead to a justifiable rate adjustment (There are always risks to cutting at the wrong time, early, late, too much, not enough.).

How is the Fed rate set? Dr. Powell indicated that there are multiple metrics and they meet as a committee to discuss. These are big decisions so having multiple experts on the panel helps create broader understanding. Making sure groups have cognitive diversity is also important for rounding out decisions. 

Segregationist Leaning vs Liberty Leaning Judges? The Struggle for a Universal Democracy

Judicial integrity is important just like it is in any position of authority. Because judges are not immune to the political aspects of their environment they may on occasion make decisions that filter political and personal distortions onto their public stakeholders. We often find this type of extreme bias in third world nations where racial, religious, tribal, and clan affiliations warp the sense of justice and lowers trust. Its takes commitment to ensure integrity of systems and in turn support by the public and the next generation. 

(Two arguments that I won't go into detail here that include the economic side and the social contract side that are violated through bias, corruption and the protection thereof. Economic Freedom and Economic Growth)

Now, I could go on and on about economics and full society engagement of people based on merit and not racial or religious bigotries. Its a human capital and engagement issue around shared goals arguments as codified in our social contracts (i.e. constitution and oaths as examples). The more people engage, the more society will grow. The more they develop, the more society will benefit from the fruits of their labor. You can sort of see the main point I'm trying to make here on judicial and court integrity.

The Hypothetical Example Used for Illustrative Purposes Only: 

Local Muslim (can be any race or religion) family with darker skinned  kids was subject to public mocking, harassment, targeting, rights violations, putting multiple kids at risk, using common bigot terms to describes Muslims, publicly blaming for things the family would have no association with, ostracization, false investigations, reputation ruining, etc. (The really bad stuff we don't want any system to do or any person in the system to suffer from. Clear signs of extremism and corruption that attempted to remove minorities and intimidate the concerned public into silence.)

This started when a group who had a financial incentive to harm the victims misused their social and professional networks to launch a hate narrative on the family. A mob of affiliated immature ethnocentric supports engaged in blind monkey para tactics. Their perception skewed by extreme bias and self perceptions of racial and religious superiorities. 

The behaviors included coordination with some officials and hinted at prior use of similar tactic against others at different times and places in their history. They were coordinated and had experience in serious mistreatment of others. 

Let us add to this hypothetical example. A few years later others came forward with similar complaints and signs of extremism and corruption perked into public conscious. A few complained of freedom of speech violations, corruption, and extremism. All of them were ignored and their complaints diminished so the public became increasingly upset.

Lack of Correction, Community Eats Cost:

While these behaviors were going on for years in full view of "inner clan members" no one raised a finger until the lid popped off the jar and made a mess that wasn't easy to explain. These problems were years in the making and while the blame falls squarely on those who engaged and promoted these behaviors it is the victims of such crimes, minorities, the community and others that must eat the cost.  

In this example there are more then a dozen of acts of threatening behaviors that could have led to violence under the wrong circumstances. Others have complained of similar acts against them creating a type of history. They were not isolated incidents but potentially coordinated goal directed behaviors. Despite the severity of the behavior there was no reasonable attempt to adjust or correct to protect the public. Those who complained were further targeted (Free Speech). The corruption continues.....

(Keep in mind this is a hypothetical example and there were no cases. It is just a discussion for theory development on how to curb extremism and systemic corruption in the future. Our democracy thrives off treating everyone fairly and when these situations occur and they cannot be corrected it reflects negatively on civil and human rights that we as a nation support..).

The Long Term Dangers of Unchecked Corruption:

The dangers of such behaviors is apparent in terms of trust and societal development. I looked around for some strong U.S. examples but didn't find anything recent. I thought this one was pretty descent. 

"Moreover, a judicial system which operates without regard to professional ethics standards is not be able to build and retain public trust in the fairness and objectivity of its decisions and outcomes. Such a system also remains vulnerable to undue influence from outside structures or individuals." (Judicial Integrity UN, para 3)

The community of victims have a few options. 

1.) Report the behaviors to another agency with more oversite. For example,  Michigan Judicial Tenure Commission. They appear narrowly defined and this might be why its hard to remove poor acting judges and officials. That is a good place to consider reform to ensure the public and the Constitution are always protected from misuse. 

2.) Class Action and Civil Rights Suits. One could do this but it often comes with a few strings. It is effective but that also relies on making examples more public. The good and bad all get trampled together. It is not a fine scalpel that works well in the grey areas. It is often the last resort when all other systems failed to do the right thing.

3. Report the crimes to different Federal and State agencies. This is not a bad idea. It creates a paper trail of crimes at different places and times. However, they have to be willing to act on it and if the bar is too high there may be no backstops to ongoing issues. Generally, this would be a primary place to go before option #2. We pay taxes to these institutions and their roles so let us maximize that first. (It makes sense to lower the temperature but not sweep the behaviors under the carpet. Its a logical first step.)

4. Investigate Case Outcomes: It is possible to look at all court cases, people involved, and the outcomes to see if there are clear statistically significant differences in court outcomes that may have a religious or racial bias. For example, were Blacks, Hispanics, Native Americans, Asians, Muslims, Mormans, Jews, Christians, etc. treated disparately and consistently over a a sustained period of time? (gross vs. repeated). This can be conducted by government or private agencies if the information is available (As far as I know, if you have access to the public information anyone can do this if they follow basic rules of logic and math.). 

5. Vote Corrupted Officials Out. The next time you go to the polls to vote on officials with jaded behaviors, etc. remember all of the complaints and remember the victims and ask yourself, "What kind of justice system is most likely to protect and serve the public for the next generation?". Voting out is very different than raising the trust in the system which can only come from integrity within the system itself (solve the problems they created). Voting is our broad hindsight management tool but doesn't address the root of corruption itself. It just removes the problem from public position based on common descent.

(Interesting reading from less developed systems. A study on court signaling and trust. Some discussion on how trust is changing in courts in general. Over Half of Americans Disapprove of Supreme Court as Trust Plummets. Some mixed news Confidence in institutions.

If you are asking me, I will give my opinion. Generally, the systems function in a broad sense but there are loop holes in that system. When third world clan, racial, and religious hate occurs there are few to no backstops and that is against our values as a people and a nation. Sometimes due to political and ideological reasons we have struggled to fix the system to improve its trust and effectiveness. We can improve upon what it does well and remove those who try violate our rights with immunity through peaceful and active listening dialogue. It is not hard to fix if people agree upon the central purpose of such institutions and why there should be protective checks and balances against misbehaviors. Generally,  I avoid anything that leans segregationist in orientation or seeks to divide our society with different rules for different people. We do not need two different societies and the division of effort and purpose that poor behaviors create. Kindness, civility and togetherness. There are pathways to improvement if we reach together to the next rung of national development and all of its economic and social benefits-universal democracy. Six ways to Improve Declining Trust





Wednesday, March 6, 2024

How Much Money To Be In the Top 1% of US Wealth? (Poem: Penny in the Jar)

 Well, I keep putting my pennies in the jar and I'm not quite there yet. I better start putting them faster.

According to article you need about $5.8 million to be in the top 1%. Wealth Needed to Join the Top 1%, by Country

Poem: Penny in the Jar

Penny in the jar,
To the top seems far,

Put one in today,
Took it from my pay.

If I try and save one tomorrow,
I might need to borrow.

I'm part of the middle class you see,
At the end of the day not much left for me. 😂😑😭

Monday, March 4, 2024

The Art(s) that Added $1 Trillion to the Economy (Walking in Woods Painting)

Sorry I'm not very good at jokes sometimes. 😂 My art did NOT add $1trillion to the economy but might have detracted in value from society about $5 in canvas, misused paint, and not a particularly fruitful use of time but, "Hey! It's a hobby!" (Its either that or my other idea of learning how to carve a flute from oak and then learn to play it. Another idea I'm thinking of trying is a bamboo frame scull for rowing. At the moment art seems like a relatively easier outlet.

You may be interested in knowing the Arts in general did add $1 trillion to the market in 2021. Art is worth a lot and I support the arts because it tells stories and transfers values in society. These are the deep subconscious/collective conscious values that are passed through our expressions. On a large scale collective level it tells you the story of generations (Poem: Cottage of a Thousand Years). 

New Data Show Economic Activity of the U.S. Arts & Cultural Sector in 2021

Did you know that the top export art was Creative Advertising at $19.3 billion in 2021?

Source, National Endowment of the Arts


Onto the art....(pull curtain)

This piece is called Walking in Woods and really I have no idea how I came up with it. The funny thing is that art isn't worth anything until its worth something. Mine could be kindling in the fireplace or it could be used to show readers my relative reason why I never became or could make much money from art. I think photography probably comes out a little better.

Walking in Woods
My Gallery has a few other pieces. Wooded Pathway