Monday, December 18, 2023

Today's Wisdom: Thucydides and Meeting Challenges

Because we are a species that draws knowledge from generation to generation some of our ancient philosophers can teach us much about the world in which we live. As we move into the new year let us spend a moment thinking about how we handle challenges in work and life. Think about your direction, problems, goals and solutions. How you handle life and work challenges defines you as a person. 

I have never seen a problem that can't be solved, and if not solved at least understood, and even if not understood at least realized, and surely if not realized then at least not worried about. In other words, go out and meet your challenges or not worry about them-wisdom lets you know which.

Thucydides stated –

The bravest are surely those who have the clearest vision of what is before them, glory and danger alike, and yet notwithstanding, go out to meet it.


*The link chosen for my respect for our military men and women. 

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Reaching for the Highest Standards of Justice-Generation to Generation

Democracy has lasted over 250 years because we have overcome challenge upon challenge in the greatest generation to generation contract in history. The system of government thrives because the system strives toward maximizing human freedom and capacity through an inclusive form of government. A society managed and run by the the people for the people. Justice in life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness is what keeps that torch bright and attractive. Reaching for justice is not an act of societal lunacy but one that creates the playing field where such freedoms can be realized.

Focusing on the root purpose of justice helps to foster trust between diverse communities that rely on these systems for a sense of safety, security and foundational prosperity. Because justice is so deeply rooted into our shared cultural conscious we intuitively know what for the most part is considered fair and what is for the most part considered generally unfair. We might not measure it with the pin point accuracy of a scale, but we can weigh and balance what equal protections and fair treatment looks like.(It is possible to measure it but that would require in depth review of records.)

When bias makes its way into the functional decision making process of the system it can begin to skew choices and outcomes. Some of these standards could be antithetical to the laws of the land if they rest on inherent differences in protective status and false anchoring that sometimes miscues justice toward the benefit of certain groups. (In high functioning systems, racial and religious variations are the lowest metrics while inner character, ability and truth are higher metrics. Creating a difference between simply stating surface oaths and values to actually living those oaths and values on a genuine level. Enlightened systems create shared commitment while lower systems are marked by constant conflict. Every nation has a history of development and historically when a system fails to adapt upward it begins to crumble as pressures mount. Only through thinking beyond one's own needs and immediacy of the time can nations adapt to higher ideals. Any society, any place.).

As a nation we have seen some wobbling of our democracy over the past five years as the game of politics became increasingly more important when compared to the seriousness nature of good governance (No parties, all parties. Neutral statement). People know we must fix some things but because they are part of the rational middle, and they are not active on these issues, the large middle is relatively voiceless and no longer seen as an anchor for decision making. 

(Making a distinction between the general needs of the people and curbing those needs to the politically active. Some use the term constituents but generally when they use such terms they mean those who are part of their party and voted for them versus all of society and all of the parities. Thus, truly fulfilling one's role means thinking about all of society and the betterment of that society as a whole. The American people are/should be the constituents, primary over party affiliations.). 

In part, these confusion of values around ideological considerations have highlighted the dangers of extremism and the risks they create for our institutions. That becomes especially true for local systems that are influenced more by ideological or social issues than the bigger purposes of democracy or its written social contracts and artifacts.  We are at this place at this time in history where the ability to ensure our local systems function is in the best interest of the local and the national society. The striving nature of societal growth cannot come from reaching lower but instead reaching for the heavens where the flowers of democracy brighten lives. Pro freedom systems attract emulators and followers.

Consider a few sociological example cases below (Sociology is the study of people, institutions, change, beliefs, etc. and is related to the other cousin sciences such as economics and psychology. Sociology is important and science is important so we should support emerging science and the problems it can solve so as to reach the highest national aspirations through excelled levels of performance as a pragmatic people. You can learn more about the field of Sociology. Below are part of a thought experiment related to the illustration of accepted extremism and hate and how that can impact society.

Spending a little more time on the worst case scenario because it constitutes the greatest hypothetical risk for any nation. These are just ways of understanding and in and of themselves are not necessarily fact but somewhat supported. They are theoretical in nature so there is a lot of variance in how one might categorize and break down different levels of system functioning in alignment to certain benchmarks (i.e. Constitution, Bill of Rights, Economics, Community engagement, etc. so on and so forth.). These are more or less just a string of interrelated concepts and not meant to be in multiple paragraphs.

1. Worst Case/ Local Democratic Decay: Systems are unable to correct internally and spend significant resources protecting poor/criminal behaviors versus working on fixing them. Because of implicit learning and social pressure there is more fear of social group rejection then fear of violating national laws. These are considered "going third world" type systems that encourage racial and religious disparities/scapegoating as as well as horrendous displays of intentional cruelty. Local justice systems protect corruption through impunity and immunity arguments. There are obvious differences between the law as intended and the "law" as practiced. Perpetrators know intuitively through their social networks they can spread rumors, use violence, damage elderly, target intellectuals, block opportunities put children in harm's way and the chances that local systems will hold them to account is low (Racial, religious, ethnocentric and perceptions of human rights and perceptions of "worthiness" based on protected classes. Few checks and balances. Investigations are used as punishment tools, are jaded and witness, documentation, and other proofs are discarded in favor of in-group testimony. Statistical disparate treatment between different groups.) Extremist leaning perceptions and armed militia encouragement are openly discussed publicly and the disdain for any level of diversity is apparent. Free passes for certain behaviors are common depending on one's clan, ideological-political beliefs, racial appearance, religious practice and even personal-social affiliations. Some officials have a dismissive eye toward liberties and human rights even though this is what defines the soul and purpose of the nation (i.e. false displays of symbolic nationalism but a rejection of deeper patriotism and core purpose of the nation and those beliefs that make one an American/"American".). Concerns, criticism and even beneficial recommendations for improvement are often responded to with intimidation, harassment, rumor/hate based narratives, group bullying, rejection from opportunities, intentional thwarting of public life, cleansings and/or violence (Highly dependent on who is providing the recommendations for improvement.). The world inside and outside these systems are different and because they are their is a socializing to warped perspectives of justice. Underdeveloped and immaturity of  human behaviors are normalized and emulated as a pathway to group acceptance. Toxic personalities and destructive behaviors of in-group members are encouraged and rewarded legally and socially (Close association and interrelations between extremist groups, embedded police gangs, and some officials).  The victims consistently are held holding the harm from unrelenting perpetrators. A simple manipulation can cause issues like the Tulsa Massacres to occur from in-group members because the rhetoric, ideology, and self-interest. The hate intensity increases with minorities and degrees of difference between in and out group members. Because the central values and laws the nation are quickly discarded for ethnocentric perspectives of human life it is often discounted and laws are misused as political and ideological purposes. There is also generally a decline in population and declining economic health. The biggest sign of decay is despite local systems failing to protect their population and engaging in undemocratic behavior, there is a general inability and lack of capacity to correct these local systems and thus showing the democratic rot and decay may be more permanent. The wider state and federal system struggles to recognize and correct these systems so their persist no matter how many victims they create or how many laws they violate. Socially there is almost fear of standing for the Bill of Rights and national values because of the influence of their social networks. People know that these systems don't function properly and there are no avenues to fix them (Intentionally blocking accountability and positive change.)  As the behaviors persist they create precursors to the red line where system structures quickly dissipate and serious human atrocities occur. People are aware that they have few to no rights and their is moral conscious failures in the wider system. The social and financial rewards for engaging in hate crimes and corruption are apparent. Historical and outside condemnation is likely when more objective perspectives return; a type of group gaslighting like cults or fascist movements. In essence, these are untrusted systems that cannot be left to their own devices with the most sacred values of society because they seem to skew their results in the favor of certain people. There are no crime if it is against "undesirables" and there are no laws of protection. There is on a practical level no right to criticize and also no reason to reform. A limited type of fish in fishbowl thinking.  From Citizens to Outcasts, 1933–1938 For additional understanding read The Bystander Effect, Three Levels of fighting Corruption. UN Specific Corruption,  US Corruption Approach

(The Hypothetical Example Thought Experiment)

(I have been using an example that mixes the worst case and mid case stages. Within such an example, there is general confusion and lots of misinformation. To do nothing and to do something each has consequences, yet to do nothing mean the system risks declining into the worst case scenario. To do so in this microcosm thought experiment and some of the found failures would naturally lead to some level of reform/adjustment.  In some ways our national soul based on how localities treat their fellow citizens. What is most interesting about this situation is that the community began to stand up where officials should have already done so even though many had knowledge that inappropriate/illegal behaviors were occurring. Its the danger of providing immunity to people prior, during and after engaging in unlawful behaviors. There are is a propensity within the local side in the favor of  people they see as "locals" without broadening that fully to include minorities. Institutional trust is low when repeated offense occur without recourse or correction. There are unaddressed community complaints of targeting's, political based stalking, reports of attempted assaults by hate group members, Good Old Boy networks, extremist supporting rogue officers threatening violence/intimidation for ideological reasons, financial corruption, intentionally poor decision making, conflicts of interest, misuse of social connections in the local justice systems to intimidate victims into silence, and a general negligence in oaths, roles, and duties related to a free nation. All of the markers are there but its by extent. This example could dip into worst case scenario or it could improve and that is dependent on moral and legal adaptations mixing with deeper respect for the values and history of the nation. We learn the that community itself has a vested interest in good governance and democratic pro-American principles and dismantling corruption became a popular community affair. A testimony to the power of the people and the nation's ultimate stakeholders. We also find as an additional benefit of the growth in democratic engagement that there was also an increase in investments and community development in a way that creates a connection between good governance and economic growth. It is also a warning against complacency with our cherished values and the need for our politicians and officials to focus on what is important and not politics as usual. )

2. Mid Case/Post Segregation-Ethnocentricism Transition: Systems function for the most part but still experiences major problems that are resolved with understanding and proactive strategic change. Sometimes changes are successful and sometimes they are not but there are clear attempts to improve. Because the overall intent is to encourage justice, even imperfectly, there is also general broad societal support as well as a healthy dose of skepticism (healthy skepticism and criticism needed to keep the system focused on positive change.). While racial and religious disparities persist there are serious attempts to correct post segregationist cultural left overs (Post segregationist as the cultural underpinnings after the official ending of segregation but not yet the full acceptance of universal democracy.). Moderate levels of human development and behavior expectations are common. Criticism and concerns can be accepted as methods of improvement once problems have risen to a certain awareness/impact level. Mostly reactive management practices and slow to adjust but does allow room for change when practical and politically acceptable (Hyper politics limits science and good judgement that would improve the functioning of the whole.). These are systems in which people encourage adjustments to improve areas of deficiency, while supporting the general functioning and purpose of the system's intent. These systems can adjust with some difficult based on coded ethical standards and legal jurisprudence. There will be a mix of people arguing for prodemocratic change and those arguing against it.

3. Best Case/Democratic System-Values Integration: The system seeks to create the highest levels of justice it can in a universal manner without racial or religious disparities. The system continuously learns from science and moral/ethical development to fulfill the highest goals of the institution. High levels of trust and support in society based on a track record of wisdom, truth, and moral conscious. With solid knowledge they seek to resolve problems at their source and build the most effective system it can to fulfill their mission and goals for the betterment of a people and nation. People trust the intent even when mistakes happen (A difference between a mistake and an intentional mistake.). Police, judges, non-profits, organizations, and the community work toward the same goals. Higher levels of human behavior and development can be found based on the fundamental influence on rudimentary assumptions about a single community, value of life, safety, security, and justice (psychological and sociological underpinnings to human growth. i.e. broad based human capital development through cultural prompting. Post humanism to social constructionism.). Because the system is functioning as it should and helps society in many secondary ways, ranging from broad based capitalistic self development all the way over to safety & security, smaller tweaks are necessarily and fairly easy to handle because of shared commitment to the Constitution and its intended purpose. Willful acceptance of thought out practical change furthers the purpose and mission of institutions in society and moves beyond rigid adherence to coded ethical standards and legal jurisprudence and into essential justice. 

On the lowest levels many people have already given up on justice, in the mid levels you receive mixed feelings but generally positive, and on the higher end stronger societal commitment to ideals. Because any system (typically lower local systems with poor values) violate norms that would be unacceptable in any culture, religion, or background it is important to force them to adjust and correct themselves least such poor systems spread sowing general distrust among people. Once the checks and balances are completely removed we will often see these poor system gravitate quickly toward an unknown default of democracy through a hate narrative,  that seeks to justify the unjustifiable by scapegoating. Problems are never really resolved this way, they just transfer from target to new target. It is the anchoring and functionality of the wider system and its check and balances that create hard stops when such systems move too far out of alignment (i.e. government accountability, civil rights groups, higher court systems, multitude of lawsuits, whistle blowers, etc.).

*These are not facts. It is just a thought experiment to explore the edges of concepts to ensure our core principles stay at the center of national development. This blog is about national development.  These are not the opinion of the blog or the author(s). They are just one way to view such issues and they can be easily discarded for many other ways of looking at sociological systems. However seeing the broad scope hypothetical possibilities is important for context. Let us protect freedom of speech and religion.

Detroit Economic Club: A Conversation with Jamie Dimon

Watching some of the movers and shakers of society can provide a level of insight into how industries function through the way information is understood and problems are resolved. There are differences between how industries or government might look at the same problem because they have inherently different stakeholders and move at different paces. The risks of moving to slow in business is as risky as government moving too fast without understanding the impact on a broader market. Neither should be too slow or too fast based on their environment..  (In other words, they are in different markets with slightly different but still related pressures. One being broader and slower then the other for risk reasons. Likewise, one accepts higher risk for greater rewards which helps the economy the other manages for stability.)

We can also ascertain from the video that Mr. Dimon's experience at the root of many industries through the medium of finance have a profound impact on the depth of his discussion. He discusses issues from the perspective of those who have seen a lot of companies succeed and go bust. Also seems to have an intuitive sense of people throughout the development chain and that is an important thing to have when managing large networks. (Think about how communication skills, systems thinking, etc. impact management style and effectiveness).

There are a few tips about employee management and the need for certain values when managing employees. It can't all be about the money, as money is just a medium of exchange that runs through the social glue that keep societies growing and developing. Finance is an extension of that need to fuel growth and change but is also reliant on a healthy society that can work together to make wise choices over those resources. Circulate money, open up opportunities, encourage wealth creation at various economic levels of society, and really keeping it expanding and growing.  

As they say through the lens of the Socratic Method, "Money, like manure, does no good till it is spread." by Francis Bacon 

Thursday, December 14, 2023

Delta County Board of Commissioners: Recognizing New Businesses and Attorney Confusion (December, 2023)

The nature of governance is a complex affair that includes all types of desires, needs, interests and outcomes. In some ways government is the the dumping grounds of a collective of societal needs. Because government often becomes the final resting place of decisions it is also the place that allows for new opportunities and new horizons. Delta County is like many other counties in the world, except that the market is on the upswing and they are in the path of potential economic growth. Meeting those challenges is important so we want to see how they are going to do that. 

Watching local government and how it manages and deals with issues such as realignment to global markets and cultural shifts are important in understanding how national system may deal with such changes. These are microcosms for understanding......

A Couple of Thoughts:

1. A sense of community can go a long way and can impact economic outcomes through subtle transactions and trust. To understand a sense of community you can read Dr. David MacMillan concepts of Sense of Community: A Definition and Theory. He is considered one of the leading authorities in the field and his work is interesting. 

2. Looking around for resources and other agencies to strengthen the local economy, or provide guidance, can be helpful in understanding a complex environment and what resources are available. While the organization may focus more on distressed communities, they still have a lot of great advice and guidance. Maybe a few ideas for maximizing assets. The US Economic Development Administration is a good source for tools and information on economic development. 

Their purpose is "To lead the federal economic development agenda by promoting innovation and competitiveness, preparing American regions for growth and success in the worldwide economy." You can read more about the HERE and check out their resource page HERE (Because I look for grants to help my community I will browse their information to see if there is anything helpful in those endeavors. i.e. fire department.).

A Few Notes: 

-Department of Veterans Affairs: Let us support our vets!

-Natural Resources Outdoors: Concerns over access and money.

-Finance doing well: The county appears to be fiscally solvent.

-Attorney confusion: Concerns over legal coverage, type of attorney, necessity and order of legal representation.

-Recognizing new businesses in county: Its a good idea for the county to start thinking about attracting business, collaborating with Escanaba-Gladstone, rewriting pages to encourage investment, entrepreneur packages, etc. 

-Concern on building inspection: A mention of the need to ensure inspections.

Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Where Does the U.S. Rank in Debt?

 Where Does the US Rank in Debt? The numbers are based off of the IMF 2023 Map. Somewhere around 2010/11 the debt for most advanced nations reached 100%. Emerging and developing countries appear to have a lower debt ratio (One potential sign of emerging versus advanced economies is the debt load and it may also constitute one of the reasons why growth rate is often slower in such countries based in at least part the debt overhead. There are other factors as well.) The U.S. debt ratio stands at 123%. An ideal number is under 100. (BTW. if you want to keep up with the IMF news you can join their podcast HERE.)

(I'm working on a theory of transactional clusters which mimic emerging markets in specific high investment and innovation locations to create net positives. Its like creating markets within markets for high need industries that are the root of other industries. It might not actually turn out that way but seems to be plausible. Currently in a slow grinding rewrite that which will require updating of citations/references.)

These two charts are from the IMF



This chart is from Visual Capitalist. Nicely put together. You can Read the Article HERE






Monday, December 11, 2023

Survey of Consumers Rises and Things Look Rosy at End of Year

Preliminary Results for December 2023 from the Survey of Consumers by University of Michigan. You may read the report HERE. What is interesting about this is that it does show the U.S. might be finding a new homeostasis in the global economy and the interest rates decline will lower some of the debt burden.  (Also might be a good time to find a long term resolution for debt. Maybe review costs, effectiveness, objectives, performance, and ways of creating net positives with the most amount of growth impact on society. Life quality and economy.)

A few points....

-Consumer sentiment improved 13% in December

-39% above the all-time low measured in June of 2022

-Surges of over 24% for outlook on business conditions

-Inflation expectations for next year is at 3.1% versus 4.5%

Three Interesting Questions:

These are not really questions one might need an immediate answer. They are only questions of "what ifs" next year looked increasing more stable but also positive in economic trajectory as lots of new infrastructure, geopolitical issues, and other issues seem to settle into a new "normal. One cannot control randomness of world events but we might still say all in all it seems somewhat positive. What might that look like is open to debate. 

1. Will we see lower inflation and higher productivity in the U.S. next year?
2. Will this be a sign that we moved into a higher homeostasis platform?
3. What impact on GDP will this have?


Sunday, December 10, 2023

A Few Tips for Executives on How To Develop a High Functioning Team

As an executive you can't do it all and even if you tried you would fail miserably. The very nature of your role in business and society is to manage groups. Years of experience and education culminate into keen insight into human nature that helps others succeed might be your forte. Inspiring others to work together works best when you learn to develop and manage high functioning teams. 

Below are a few things learned over the years.

1.  Define Your Objectives: Have a clear  purpose and goal (s) for a team. Without a sense of direction any other activity will likely be misguided.

2. Determine the Type of Skills, Abilities, and Personalities Needed: Personality as well as abilities and skills make a big difference in the functional nature of group work as well as the capacity to meet objectives based on actualized skill sets.

Building products the old fashion
way. With team talent!
3. Recruit Your Team: Recruit specifically for needs of the team. If the team is designed to last a long time then one must consider developing one in which there is a right mix of people, personality and diverse skills. If the team time is shorter in duration there might be a slightly different task oriented approach. 

4. Define Tasks and Activities: Breaking down the steps to achieve targets is important and knowing who is responsible for each task is important. If you recruited the right people, this process becomes easier.

5. Implement Plans and Verify Results: The implementation process and subsequent outcome of that process is important. Having a realistic timeframe and valid measures of success help to determine when an objective or mission has been completed. 

6. Find a New Purpose or Dissipate: All teams must find meaning or they should dissipate so the resources can be used on other business or societal needs.