Sunday, January 29, 2023

Report Indicates U.S. May Not Be Prepared for War With China. As Early as 2025?

 We have work to do in our military supply chain and innovative capacity. That requires a level of trying new ideas and thoughts. For example, developing economic clusters that are designed to quickly innovate our industry and impact through butterfly effects other industries in a positive way. Advanced military innovation is based on industry innovation. In this case, we might consider sparking multi benefits on the pin of the same needle through collaborative R&D and prototype generation through a cluster development framework (Its still a theory in work in progress but is supported in the literature).

As a nation we recently started jogging to speed up our pace and this is a good indication a race of development between the U.S. and China is well on its way. As a nation we will soon need to run and it is best to start resolving issues and giving up political-ideological immaturities that fail to help the nation as a whole early in the competitive process. Let us get practical, focused and make evidence based decisions with the longest term solutions in mind (Or maybe not? 🤷).

US defense industry unprepared for a China fight, says report

Deactivation of Scorpion Unit is Helpful But Is It Too Reactive and Not Proactive Enough?

Much of this blog is about national development and we don't shy away from difficult conversations when they have the chance to impact that development (That fear of saying too little and leaving the problems for the next generation seem to come forward). Let me say as a light Right Republican I have the ability to listen to my conservative and liberal friends with equal consideration. What I'm hearing from people is that it is great that leaders, judges, and prosecutors are now taking action once a video comes into the airwaves and there are no options to sugar coat what happened.

I'm 100% in support of police and 110% in support of civil rights (include religion and free speech) because ultimately all institutions must be subject to the general needs and will of society. Where I'm hearing some criticism, of which some of it I share, is that its a little late and the hindsight concern is nice but seems sort of well, "hindsight" when obvious foresight was needed. 

There is a perception, right or wrong, that some in positions of authority know things like this are going on but they take little or no action until it hits public awareness (i.e. meaning their inactivity becomes a risk and questionable.). If there are multiple serious complaints, no internal investigations, weak internal affairs, prior issues of recklessness, etc. and none of that was addressed we have a management issue beyond poor group culture (Not always. Sometimes the data doesn't look like a pattern and someone could say they didn't understand the types of behaviors that were going on. The other issue is if these issues were known and no one acted on them and that in turn put peoples lives at risk. The only way to really know is to take a good look to see what the general reputation of this group was, would superiors know that, and were there any documented investigations to protect the public.)

Let me say that in general I have a great amount of respect for police (The majority that are good officers serving the public in an honorable way.) and I can say we need to hold bad apples accountable before they get caught on camera and we act/feel shocked (The officers we have reasonable suspicion are violating the law and are at risk of being criminal themselves, cloaked in legitimacy, and in turn protected for such activities even though their highest priority is to enforce these laws fairly. The Blue Code being used as a code of concealment of bad behavior. I respect some of that code but obvious criminal behavior beyond normal working mistakes not ok.). I've seen free pass and how people, and some very basic assumptions, are often the last concern for people. It seems to be fashionable in hindsight to talk about the potential solutions.

I think that this problem can be resolved but it will require to think about issues from a more holistic proactive perspective. Free passes, even when we know these behaviors are wrong allow bad behaviors to push distorted logic/behaviors until situations like this occur. Its not that misuse of authority is new, as it partners with power, but that new technology forces us to be aware of that which in the past was hidden. 

Our freedoms and rights to life, liberty and pursuit of happiness is the highest duty and calling for police, judges, and the general civilian population. Each of us has a responsibility to protect that way of life and make reforms when it appears a group, department, institution may not be fulfilling their roles effectively. Change and updating regularly should be expected from a nimble first world nation trying to maintain civil and economic superiority.

We need the best and brightest to come forward in our society and take roles where they can ensure we are proactive on damaging behaviors like street vigilantism that erode the foundations of shared governance. Developing democracy comes with challenges for each generation. (Key point) Our generation must push democracy from its current state to a more universal and inclusive democracy that creates realizable human capital improvements through proper environmental prompting.

I do not believe I mince words or am intentionally confusing. Both sides of most arguments seem to come forward and it takes time to prune to the most reasonable explanations. I want to see good cops get promoted, I want cops to be respected by the community and I want the community to be safe from bad cops. That requires thinking about things from multiple perspectives (Trust me, seeing things from multiple perspectives and sharing that is a necessary part of developing society but it doesn't make you friends in some circles because everyone is "right". Are they still "right"? Will they continue to be "right" in the future? )

The way to create respect is by holding the will of the people and our shared principles as more important than the fear of departmental retaliation. We break those cultures where good officers cannot thrive or exist for fear of being subject to criminally oriented officers and ineffective department leadership. Internal affairs needs to be more than just a job title on a piece of paper and needs teeth in addition to outside department support. 

Unfortunately, in today's world you need to be somewhat of a risk taker to make movement toward loftier goals that lead to shared benefit. We should ask ourselves, "What usually happens to those who challenge poor behavior in poor cultures and why are we promoting people who don't have the moral aptitude to challenge poor behaviors when they see them?" 

The answers are not easy but they won't come by dividing communities further (A word to the wise for those actively trying to divide communities....our strength lies in our ability to hedge our different backgrounds and skills. Good people build bridges and toxic people destroy bridges. With many more good people than bad people and our nation will collapse in on itself. I understand you may disagree and of course are "right" but essentially I think people can agree that such behavior leads to more distrust. Consider growing public sentiment across society. There are many good articles out there. Here is one that is good by CNN. ) As an American people we can resolve this issue in a way where police are welcome members of our community and the communities and police see similarly on how to rid neighborhoods of crime. That can only come from working together, finding solutions, and enacting those solutions together.

 Its not Police vs. The People. A more reasonable viewpoint is America is growing to a higher level of civil development and changing the assumptions of policing (and society in general) is part of that developmental process. Whether we can change those assumptions in a healthy way for better national growth is dependent on the personalities involved. Let us tackle this issue as a single society, police and populace, working toward the same universal end. Ignore the sounds of ignorance that raise the risks to everyone where two forms of logic, two societies, and probably one opportunity in history to resolve this issue before two split collective conscious occur (From a theoretical and sociological perspective we need to view the possibility of rectification as attainable from a single perspective. If the felling from a large portion of society becomes "They don't care" and "They won't fix it" or "They won't let us fix it" the path become much more rocky and dangerous. So let us keep toxic voices and political immaturity  out of this, use civil conversation and roll our sleeves up and get to solving national problems while we have most flexibility. *   ).

*Unless your Congressman Santos who might have signed the Magna Carter and invented the term civil rights. I hear he might run for president and likely would make up a good enough story to get support. We need real leadership and real leaders that can help us solve problems. They are out there, they just haven't stood up to fulfill their oaths yet as it relates to policing and the public. Government is serious business with real consequences. I always encourage our governance to look over the horizon, act with integrity, and solve problems. That is pretty basic advice.

Saturday, January 28, 2023

Rest and Recovery for Athletes: Knowing How Much and When?

Staying is shape is part of living a healthy lifestyle. It lets you be the best you can be in the physical realm (Don't forget the other parts and making sure those are also healthy). If you have been reading for a while you might be aware I engage in a number of sports, have a fitness trainers certificate, and a yoga certification. There are a few other things but the point being that I'm not new to the world of sports and I'm also interested in it and thus the reason why constant learning is important. 

This article is for those who want to perform at the best they can and maintain a healthy lifestyle. For those of us who work out regularly we often discount the value of recovery and push the limits. I have years of pushing the limits and it can lead to decreased performance.

Recovery seems to be important but knowing how much time is helpful. It is possible to not have days off but it would be difficult to have a routine that builds in that recovery within the program itself through augmentation. Still, I think its good to take a day off a week as a general rule. For those of us who know our bodies. we might be able to gauge our tiredness.

Two resources. Athlete Rest and Recover and the video below....

Protests for Tyre Nichols Takes Form Nationwide: We can solve this problem as a society!

We need a path through this but so far many of our leaders are bouncing back on their heels with similar worn out solutions to problems many of them don't understand. The black and white, this or that, type thinking that now makes its way into our decision making process based on party line blind button pressing isn't going to solve this issue (That does not take away from the many good leaders we do have. This is about those who are not focused on solving problems). So we may need to think beyond our current capacity to understand and move into the root importance and respect for life and our fundamental American values.

We as a developing society need to push for a peaceful transition to a higher platform of democracy where we can improve on making police more effective at catching bad guys as well as follow standards of excellence that lead to humane and peaceful public servants. There are cultural issues in some departments and few ways to break that dysfunctional culture in a way that leads to higher total group performance (New ways of measuring that culture and other feedback information that is becoming increasingly common are exposing prior dysfunctions and in turn will help us find solutions. This is not a new problem, this is just a problem we became more aware of because technology forced us to face it. i.e. body cams, video surveillance, etc.. Time to solve it. A Digital Era benefit. )

Let us not say that all police are bad. That IS NOT true at all! I know and have worked with many great police officers in one form or another throughout my life (That is why I always encourage peaceful protest because we are one community even though there are some that are trying to separate us. Police are part of the people and people are part of the police. It has been the separation that has caused many of the problems. Think about it for a second before you judge.). Its the bad apples and the inability of removing them, no matter their race or religion, that are causing the majority of the problems for everyone else (This is why we must remove bad apples and reform departments when they have repeated community complaints.💁) 

The culture is to stay silent and not intercede when justice demands a respect for life and would warrant intercession. The personalities we attract, the diversity of our police force, de-escalation methods and tactics training all lead to higher performance. No idea why this is so very complicated. If our individual officers don't feel empowered to act on behalf of life (their ultimate duty and honor when crimes are occurring), it means these departments are highly influenced by bullies/bigots and the misuse of power as a day-to-day tool. 

The sad reality is that they don't step forward because they are afraid of being ostracized, called names, pushed out of their departments, stonewalled, rejected, unprotected, etc.. etc.. because they broke the silence and acted in the best interest of society and human life (Ask yourself this question, "What consideration stopped them from stepping forward to stop their fellow officers? Most of the officers at this incident watching are likely normal people so they have been socialized to stay silent and not act. That is what needs to be fixed.).

The politics got to get out of practical solutions.....

The saddest thing about the video you can see where the victim is afraid and so stressed isn't sure what to do. At that point the narrative could have changed and a peaceful arrest might have occurred (You can't always say 100% but that is where one might have shifted to a softer more directive approach. It could have turned out differently and guilt or innocents can be determined by a court and not by street vigilantes. It is important to keep in mind that the police ultimately work for society and as we develop as a people we will put pressure as a collective whole on the justice institution to change to meet that development. This is how systems change. It is possible to do that peacefully and through dialogue and appropriate best use of pressure through our political process. That is democracy! Let us not step outside that lane with violence!)

What I can say is that I hope and pray everyone stays peaceful and our leaders start doing what we elected them for and solve problems....that's it....just solve problems.....the rest is useless drama and ideological immaturity. For related reading see Thoughtful Policing, Police Appreciation, MLK Universal Democracy The sad thing about this is, we know better, we knew better, we are better than this. Apparently, some of us are not and the rest of us stand around and watch (It says a lot about us doesn't it. If we fix this problem it also says something about us. To be honest, its not a guarantee people will do the right thing and that is why we are in this situation now. Sometimes they do and sometimes they don't. Would we be benefit from a little more purposefulness in our thoughts and actions. Its a proof in pudding argument.).

"The good lawgiver should inquire how states and races of men and communities may participate in a good life, and in the happiness which is attainable by them."  Aristotle 

 

Friday, January 27, 2023

U.S. GDP Rises to 2.9% in Q4 2022: What is GDP and How to Calculate?

GDP expands to 2.9% in Q4 2022 and unemployment declines showing signs of economic resilience. In general this means the economy is growing and unused human capital is being brought back into the market (Putting pressure on technology to expand US. labor capacity). How much the U.S. is growing in comparison to other countries can be found when we compare world GDP rates (Explore World Bank Data). The BEA has a description of GDP in BEA GDP. You may also want to understand how GDP is broken down and how it is calculated in The Money Balance GDP. 

From a very generic standpoint the formula is.....

 GDP is Y = C + I + G + NX

GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government + Net Exports

Invest Escanaba: Billerud $200 Million Paper Mill Development Supplemental Passes State House and Senate

"The Hunt" in the Forest
by Paolo di Dono, called Uccello (1397–1475)
Billerud in Wells Township should be happy to hear that a supplemental bill for $200 million passed in the state house and senate. You can read the article in State legislature passes funding to upgrade Billerud mill in Delta County (TV6, 2023). What you will find in the article is the need to update infrastructure and while Delta County has existing infrastructure well suited for the logging (and a few others) it will need updates. There are lots of things that go into industrial design that most people don't think about so it take some time (i.e. rain water run off, energy needs, roads, rail, etc..). Those changes will likely lead to more investment interest (Think of FDI and how that is impacted by supply chains being rerouted back to the U.S. Remember that interest doesn't mean actual investment. However, it raises the possibility of further investment. See International Monetary Fund.)

The money is being allocated. See (US News U.P. Papermill Bill. Seriously, I can't find the actual bill! You always go down to the source when you can. I will check back in a few days. Maybe it wasn't uploaded yet.). All of that is good news! The town has been on a path of development and currently has a few other things going for it such as ship building/customization as well as a budding new tourism business. Matching those internal choices and behaviors with a more robust downtown and start-up culture opens the door to design and engineering firms that will then put Esky "on the map" as a digital and innovative "hot spot" at a time when the market demands it.

U.S. largest recipient of FDI
Source: IMF

I want you to think about how those infrastructure improvements make sense for other industries and residence in a small town of 10K +/- (I don't have time now to look the number up but feel free to explore if the topic interests you. Practitioner-Scholar). Would ship building, hotels, micro manufacturers, etc....all use those infrastructure improvements? How does improvement in hard infrastructure, including new Delta County digital infrastructure, create opportunities for lower transaction costs, higher innovation, and better growth opportunities for other businesses?

Consider what a Multi Cluster might look like from a theoretical standpoint. Keep in mind that a lot of research supports interactivity of business and that is hardly new. Doing it in a new way with an opportunity to repeat such behaviors in other places is pretty important in the long run. The industries can be adjusted based on market design and local resources but it was the model I was more iterested in and some of them made sense. Consider DC MultiClusters. Micro Manufacturing, Billerud Multi Applied Theory Feedback Master Plan, Start Up Esky, R&D Esky, U.S. to Out Perform China

Thursday, January 26, 2023

A Few Words on Hate: Making it Past the Facade of Legitimacy

(1431-1506) Andrea Mantegna
'The Triumph of the Virtues
Minerva Expelling the Vices from the Garden of Virtue', 1502
Hate is a problem in ours as well as others societies. In the U.S. we are posed to overcome a big portion of hate in the next few decades as new technologies lead to keen insight into some of the underlining mechanisms of the hate trap. As we challenge hate broadly across society at precisely the time technology and communication patterns are changing we can change the narrative and push society to consider the merits of man (a general term for mankind) before superficial characteristics to ensure the best and brightest come forward. 

A more pure and purposeful capitalism that maximizes our human capital and opportunities broadly as technology puts more power in user's hands. The underlining mechanics of hate are still very much human to human and need further challenge to put back into the cave by which it came. 

With all hate is the smoke and mirrors of distorted logic that not only derails the individual's rationality of thought but also begins to impact the thinking patterns of others through social expectation. In this case birds often to flock together and share similarities of perspective. People who are of a different moral persuasion are likely to feel some internal angst and minimize that through not being involved in the hate process or its intentional spreading. 

Lesson on Hate: Hate has a social component that feeds on social unwritten social acceptance. 

Hate is also generally an illogical affair that gives a hint to the distorted mind of the wielder. Let us say a person hates XYZ people (XYZ as any race or religion.). While there may be specific incidents that may lead to a phobia of certain characteristics this in general very rare. The hate someone holds isn't associated with actual observation but is an erroneous conclusion not based in fact. 

Lesson on Hate: Hate beliefs are often not based in specific objective and observed experiences and thus often not grounded in fact.

Because legitimacy of hate is not based in fact it is often more telling of the beliefs of the perpetrator about him/herself. The feeling of worthlessness often leads to projection onto others "perceived deficiencies" as proof of one's superiority. This is one reason why hate can get so violent and lack any sense of empathy (Often there is abuse in the background. They have not had to take responsibility for it). 

Lesson on Hate: Hate is based in distorted projections of self and can make the wielder of hate bent toward outward expressions of rage (i.e. rage at self in the wrong direction).

People with hate should be removed from positions of power as hate and power lead to reciprocal justifications of inappropriate behaviors. For example, hate is outward projection of distorted logic twisted with pain that requires power to implement and project fully. Thus, hate fuels the misuse of power and power increases the perceived legitimacy of hate (i.e. blaming victims and hate targets for challenging poor behaviors by considering their obstinance a sign of lower value and lack of respect for law. Most people can agree with law & order but they can't agree with subjective application.). Thus checks and balances are needed to ensure there isn't misuse of authority (Be careful not to step on a leading fundamental American right of freedom of speech.)

Lesson on Hate: Having checks and balances to ensure those who harbor hate and misuse power in its projection are removed from positions of power to protect the public. 

This is a blog on national development and in many ways hate is a risk for our country like a few looming issues. The only solution that I can think of is to universalize our democracy and move to that next stage where the good attempts to minimize hate meets an ocean of data and the decision making process that leads to new lenses to perceived old problems (We are in the beginning of the Digital era and the 360 knowledge it will provide of life on this planet as we know it. Some of that will likely lead to solutions like Global Warming and others might give us insight into our species. ie. health, psychology, capacity, etc.). That, along with the development of science, technology and our environment (outward space and/or inward microbial/nano) will provide key insights into human nature and how that interacts with institutions (Most of our institutions have years of data but its study is somewhat limited.)

*I spent a significant portion of my life understand other's perceptions and come to what I believe are keen insights from a first missed dissertation attempt. Not really missed just unique and not really publishable in a full form on that level. That places me in some ways in a unique position to share my knowledge. The attempt is to improve society and improve institutional functioning through the removal of road blocks to a universal democracy. Changes in technology will push new ideas and thoughts and that will require improving broad based opportunities and removal of lingering legacy beliefs that hamper full human capital development.