Friday, August 13, 2021

Boarder Crisis Getting Worse Says Homeland Security Secretary Mayorkas

The migrant situation is getting worse. There is desperation there. I usually go down to see orphans but haven't done so in a while because of the border issue (and a Pandemic). The crisis is growing and people are not sure on how to deal with it. While there may be some shorter term solutions much of them will take longer and are relationship development issues with other countries. 

Personally, I would shorten the low cost manufacturing from China to Mexico (shorten supply chains), consider finishing the wall (highly contentious issue. I wish we didn't need walls. Its the wrong signal but it is one viable possibility. We should be open to any reasonable solution wall or not? ) and support/fund the orphanages in Mexico and really do some amazing things. I support Corozona which has done well for kids.

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Unemployment July 2021-Leisure & Hospitality, Government Education, and Professional & Business Services

The jobs numbers are continuing to improve. Employment increases in leisure and hospitality, in local government education, and in professional and business services take center stage. It takes a minute to read the descriptions of what each of the terms mean.  Education is likely to be a bigger discussion going forward after the rehiring of teachers and training them. Likely there won't be the same campus levels so there will need to be a transition of some teachers to more online education and that in turn would put pressure on online education become more established as an institutional system.

Its also possible to think about the increase in transportation and warehousing. I'm not 100% sure I understand all the parts but perhaps we might see some increase in consumer spending in the next few months. Economics can be so fickle depending on so many different factors. I try and break them out but its a large field of study (..actually human behavior. I failed a Harvard Class in Economics so listen at your own risk. 😮).

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 943,000 in July, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.5 percentage point to 5.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, in local government education, and in professional and business services. "

"In July, employment in leisure and hospitality increased by 380,000. Two-thirds of the job gain was in food services and drinking places (+253,000). Employment also continued to increase in accommodation (+74,000) and in arts, entertainment, and recreation (+53,000). Despite recent growth, employment in leisure and hospitality is down by 1.7 million, or 10.3 percent, from its level in February 2020."

"Transportation and warehousing added 50,000 jobs in July. Job growth occurred in transit and ground passenger transportation (+19,000), warehousing and storage (+11,000), and couriers and messengers (+8,000). Employment in transportation and warehousing has grown by 534,000 since April 2020; the industry has recovered 92.9 percent of the jobs lost during the February-April 2020 recession (-575,000)."

(added note......If were adding jobs I think Delta County would be a great place for a shipping hub with its port. Alternatively it could be used for ship building and movement of specialized products. See Delta County Shipping and DC Small Man. and Shipping)

"Employment in professional and business services rose by 60,000 in July. Within the industry, employment in the professional and technical services component rose by 43,000 over the month and is 121,000 above its February 2020 level. (Professional and technical services includes industries such as accounting and bookkeeping services, management and technical consulting services, and scientific research and development services.) By contrast, employment in the administrative and waste services component (which includes temporary help services) changed little over the month (+20,000) and is 577,000 lower than in February 2020. Employment in the management of companies and enterprises component was also little changed over the month (-3,000) but is 100,000 lower than the level in -4- February 2020. Employment in professional and business services overall is down by 556,000 since February 2020. "

July 2021 Employment US Economy by Dr. Murad Abel on Scribd

Its a Nice Day Out So Enjoy It

 “Do anything, but let it produce joy.” ― Walt Whitman


Its the little things!


The Responsibility to Challenge Hate Groups-Social and Formal Connections

Throughout the years I have found that hate and self-identity are very much mixed up together into a personal schema. Because we form our identities through our social groups they become a primary driver on how we act and treat minorities (...or each other. Its more along the lines of dealing with differences...minority, majority, or otherwise). While each group of friends may have their own beliefs these same social connections can also impact law enforcement and their perceived obligations to those social networks.

We have responsibilities to ensure that local needs are met but we sometimes have to think beyond that to the bigger national picture. Government entities have greater responsibilities to ensure that Americans as a national collective are having their needs met (There are many reasons on a macro level why we must support a free society. Hundreds of years of philosophical pontification and research tell us the types of freedoms that lead to motivation and societal growth. There are balances to individual and collective rights.). Social groups can cause havoc on institutional effectiveness (The more social groups derail institutional missions, the more misaligned the institution becomes.) 

While many of these local groups might not view themselves as racists and bigots their inability to accept small differences means they have closed themselves off from any variation in their identities (in and out group dynamics form based on these subtle group codes/beliefs.). While much of these perceived differences are small they can easily exploited for personal gain (that is the problem.)

I'm a supporter of police and have interacted with them enough in numerous capacities to understand that as an occupational approach they are intent on doing the right thing. However, when social networks become involved these right things become blurry through divided loyalties. I've seen departments do the professional thing and insulate their officers and others do the opposite and in turn decision making was skewed toward pushing for a specific outcome.) 

Law enforcement should always seek to maintain objectivity so as to solve the most amount of problems to fulfill their institutional contract to society. The wrong type of information by the "right" type of person can create big problems. Instead of looking at the facts, we are willing to run with conjecture (at least until we are confronted with more accurate information that is hard to ignore. This is why one cannot truly say they "know" something. Its all possibility based on information presented and how we construct meaning from it.)

It takes time to sort of ferret out the different factors at play (If it was that easy we would have solved it a long time ago.) Despite that there are a few general lessons we might gather from situations like these. What I can say is that we should think about how to protect against allowing social groups  1.) from being easily manipulated and 2.) social connections to law enforcement that can be exploited.

While race and racism has become a politically charged topic it nevertheless is an absolutely necessity to tackle in the modern world. We are smarter now and know that we need all human capital pulling in the same direction for national development. That will be very difficult if misdirected social groups determine the course of direction and warp the values of law enforcement, judges, policy makers, etc... (Depends on who your source of values and knowledge is? Pick a vision of what the country should look like!). As a nation we need to set our compass higher and restore/maintain trust in those institutions that can make or break our futures (These institutions have a purpose.). 

People would think I'm liberal but that's not really the case. I do believe it is time we make racism and bigotry taboo in good moral conscious so that we can all compete together on the global marketplace (...suppress racism and not differences of opinion. We always need healthy debate to solve problems. If there is a problem solving evidence based discussion going on then its a good discussion for growth.). I support our officers 100% and support the removal of officers that tarnish the institutions good reputation (Individual officers shouldn't detract from the positive activities of many good officers. Strengthen of the system sometimes means removing bad apples and making a more empowered force to report wrong doing. A culture change may be necessary for some departments. I prefer to take what is working already and enhance it as a solution so we can build off of existing officer strength. Strengths based approach for leadership enhancement and officer retention.

Monday, August 9, 2021

Escanaba City Town Hall August 5th, 2021

This was a pretty action packed agenda with lots of fancy words like ordinance, grant, and bidding (All normal part of government-industry interaction). It looks like there is a need for more housing so hopefully the downtown area can fulfill some of that need. What would be nice is if some of the upstairs apartments can be used to attract people who want to buy and build a business in a live-develop arrangement (See Escanaba Downtown Idea). 

Notes: I just put together a few notes as I go forward. While I try and be accurate they are not always. So its better to go back and look at the agenda. I did cut and paste a few parts from the agenda for clarity. See August 5th, 2021 Agenda.  To really understand you have to pay a lot of attention to changes and activities and often that requires a level of proximity. 

-Ordinance 1251: Removing of canopy heights and other restrictions. You will have to go to the agenda for a more specific description. Not sure if its related but it would be nice to see more canopies in Esky for sidewalk sitting. 

-5 block section to increase different types of housing arrangements. It appears they are seeking to expand the use of some commercial blocks. 

-Removing off-street parking space requirements for commercial buildings in that commercial district area. 

-Someone made the comment about development of housing above the commercial real estate. If I'm understanding correctly that is a good idea. Especially if some of these become seasonal condos, Airbnb and apartments (That will depend on the bigger vision of the town.). 

-Beatification of the city. There will be some changes of trees on Ludington to allow more flowering varieties. Tourists love to see beautiful landscape, flowers, and nice places to sit. Putting this kind of effort into the city adds up over time in showing city pride.

-Nonmotorized parkway. I wonder if this means there will be bike path and/or walk path. This may be part of the 5 year recreation plan. See recreation plan Escanaba. There might be a newer one. 

"Approval – Resolution and Signing of a Contract – Recreation. Explanation: Administration is recommending passing a Resolution for authorized signatures on the North City Limits Non-Motorized Pathway. Administration is recommending signing of the Contract between Michigan Department of Transportation and the City of Escanaba for the North City Limits Non-Motorized Pathway"

"Approval – Award of a Bid to Payne & Dolan, Inc. – Recreation. Explanation: The State of Michigan let bids out for the North City Limits Non-Motorized Pathway. Two bids were received. Administration is seeking approval for the low bid from Payne & Dolan, Inc. in the amount of $867,092.05."

-Something going on with the triangle on Ogden. I lived as a kid in the area and would like to have a house back in the neighborhood someday. Looks like something historical might go in there. 

"Approval – Award of a Bid to Payne & Dolan, Inc. – Recreation. Explanation: The State of Michigan let bids out for the North City Limits Non-Motorized Pathway. Two bids were received. Administration is seeking approval for the low bid from Payne & Dolan, Inc. in the amount of $867,092.05."

-$3 Million in lead pipes money. Something about the Governor is coming to visit. The letter below was taken from the city website. "2 million in DWI grant funds and $3 million in loan for the WTP Project"  So if there is DWSRF Drinking Water State Revolving Fund with relates to drinking water and WTP Project 

-New ships coming into the area. Navy having issues with gear box so we are updating them. Its great to have such work being done in Escanaba. 

Climate change IPCC report "Code Red"

Climate change is a major thing and as we continue forward with a larger world population we will come to find that cutting emissions and creating biodegrable products all help. We just aren't accustomed to thinking out our natural systems as a "system" and we have extracted too much without putting back in. We should be creating technologies that create efficiencies in our production processes but also the repurposing/recycling of older items. Likewise, ensuring that money is going back into cleaning and improving systems (i.e. Great Lakes) is important. See IPCC Reports

Sunday, August 8, 2021

4 Hikers Helped on Hog Back Mountain-New Needs for Public Service Training?

 Usually I talk about economic stuff but this time its a little more about saving hikers. While this isn't a difficult trail, if you are not from the area, and its raining one certainly can get lost. In this case the Marquette Search and Rescue Team found the missing hikers. The situation does highlight a need to consider additional training as tourism in the Upper Peninsula rises. 

As tourism rises there will likely be additional training needed. I write more about Delta County which is my home town. More hikers, bikers, etc... will ultimately mean more injuries in rural places. As eco-tourism rises so does the need to train officers, EMS, and volunteers how to handle injuries where little support is available. 

Its something to think about because if towns can capitalize on ecotourism it also creates possible new needs. 

Senate Moves Forward On Infrastructure Bill: Inching Forward

The Senate moves forward on infrastructure bill. Much of what is in the bill appears to be focused on basic upgrades that are likely to have net positives for our country; even if we don't yet have the metrics to measure them. There are areas where healthy debate should occur to further define funding and specifics but the overall need to update the infrastructure in some way is still a necessary part of staying globally competitive. Barring any real alternative solutions to do that, it would make sense to work on this bill and see how far it can go. 

Of course there are other ways to finance items but they become outside our governance norm. For example, I think about a calibrated tax plan where companies that do business here but don't have a HQ have one tax rate and those who have a U.S. based HQ receive another rate (Hopefully, leading to companies that move here instead of just doing business.). The system would repurpose some of that tax base (%) back into improving and updating the infrastructure in a sustainable way (Hopefully, leading to improvement of our environment from generation to generation.). As people use more of the infrastructure the money moves into building out and improving functionality (Its just a basic idea I'm working on for economics in the Digital Age. Could be something helpful someday or might be sort of a dead end but either way its a challenge to come up with something.). The "profits" and/or excess capital produced from the economic activity associated with infrastructure is the generated value beyond its maintenance and that becomes excess capital for government (....business also earns their own profit. Companies go where there is things like strong infrastructure, skilled labor, reasonable tax rate, innovation, access to resources, etc...) to spend on other programs. 

Two Chicago Officers Shot-Its not the Answer!

Two officers shot in Chicago. Its not the answer. We as a society seem to relish in violence and that is almost never the proper path forward. Picking up a gun is not the answers and leads to other compounding problems. While this may or may not be related to general anger the methodology used is completely out of place and inappropriate. The vast majority of police are doing the right thing and while there are a few bad apples that doesn't mean it applies to everyone.

An investigation will likely reveal more information about the perpetrators and their motives. I have a few ideas on the topic of why we should be concerned about such behaviors and how to minimize them.

Life is a precious thing and its not up to people to be the judge and jury. When people are angry and upset they should take a moment and think about what they are doing before they act. These attacks on police seem to be increasing and that is disturbing. Keeping institutional trust high can be helpful here..

Shooting at the police doesn't do any good to anyone. While justice reform might be a contentious issue using violence to solve problems worsens the situation for everyone; that should not be the goal. With our tough talking politicians and foot dragging legal system we have to do more to ensure people and police see the future of our society the same way and are willing to step toward that vision. 

I think at the end of the day most of us want a great and safe environment to raise our kids and live our lives. Police are part of the answer...and as long as we all want what is good then we will naturally avoid what is bad. Picking up a gun is not the answer to any problem; it heightens problems.  There must be some path forward between the different stakeholders that want to move society forward. 

I hope speedy recovery for these two officers and that we begin to heal as a nation to find a way through the fog.

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Explicit/Implicit and Tacit Learning: Online Education and the Process of Learning

 Knowledge comes in many forms and we can learn by many different paths and methods. Sometimes it comes through e-books (Explicit) while other times it is more of an internal understanding that with effort we can draw out that knowledge for examination (Implicit). Still other types of knowledge are passed on from generation to generation without our conscious awareness of it (Tacit) that helps bind us as people. 

Humans have become skilled to learn in multiple ways to ensure we are overcoming challenges in our environment. We can learn from formal education, we can learn from the experience of life, and we can learn from our world through subtle ways in which we are not even aware. Each of these knowledge types has a purpose in drawing society together and creating some boundaries of knowledge based in our cultural heritage and socialization. 

A Few Descriptions

Explicit knowledge is that which we can state we know (learned solid knowledge) while implicit knowledge is that which we can't state precisely but we already know (facial recognition, cultural context, etc...). There is a pretty solid explanation by Martin Davies in "Knowledge – Explicit, implicit and tacit: Philosophical aspects"

Tacit knowledge is like intuitive knowledge and is passed in very subtle ways but creates long term organizational benefits through deeper learning. Its rooted in context, experience, and values. Its not something you can sort of state with any clarity. 

I came across a solid article on Explicit, Implicit and Tacit Knowledge that is worth your read 
'Explicit, Implicit and Tacit Knowledge'

The Process of Learning

Learning is a life long affair and with changes in online education and portable technologies education can be delivered to people in a convenience place. While our socialization creates the base of our knowledge the explicit knowledge can be shared easily in an online classroom.

Beyond the books some learn by doing things in life and society through "hands on" type learning that would best be suited for the workplace (hands on training and apprentice). Active learners seek knowledge while passive learners accept learning opportunities as they come. 

Online learning is an extension of our learning styles....

Openness to ideas helps us learn while closure to ideas limits our knowledge exposure and in turn slows learning. Those who have the personality traits to learn are ones that question their environment, listen to the multiple ways to learn, and are actively seeking new ways to gain and share knowledge. As learners go forward we hope that they pay attention to the different ways in which they are learning and where their knowledge comes from (checking root assumptions).