Sunday, June 8, 2014

The Spillover Effects of Online Marketing Channels



Marketing is a main source of income generation as firms seek to attract web visitors and convert those web visitors into paying customers. Firms consistently rely on a few marketing methods and overstate the importance of those methods without understanding how they work together to convert purchasing behavior. Research by Li & Kannan (2014) helps companies understand online channels, historical visits using these channels, and how spillover effects convert visitors into paying customers. They propose a new model that helps conceptualize the concept. 

Even though some companies rely on specific channels it is the combination of advertising channels that create the marketing mix. It is difficult for firms to determine which channels work well and which channels do not effectively contribute to customer conversion rates. Online marketing will move from $15 billion to $24 billion by 2016 (eMarketer, 2012). The growth in marketing expenditures will require better analysis of benefits in terms of attracting the right kinds of customers. 

Consumers in the online world may click and browse a number of different sites before actually visiting a webpage and making a purchase. Initial exposure and activities are regularly discounted according to conventional practices such as the last-click analysis. Consumers exposed at one time to a company or product may not make a purchase until some other point in time leaving previous exposures uncovered as a source of marketing. 

The authors designed a model that helps to analyze the spillover effects of marketing. Based upon individual-level path data of customers’ touches their purchase decision hierarchy finds 1) heterogeneity across customer’s channel use to visit sites, 2) the carryover and spillover impact of prior marketing interventions that lead to visits, and 3) the conversion of visits to purchases. The overall approach helps to highlight how online purchases that use multiple channels mesh together to lead consumers to a particular site to encourage purchasing behavior. 

The model is in alignment with other research focused on Internet marketing. According to Wiesel, et. al. (2011) there are three stages to a purchase that include the consideration stage, visit stage, and purchase stage.  In the consideration stage the customer determines his needs and utilizes different channels to find information, in the visit stage they visit a website based upon channel information, and in the purchase stage the customer makes a purchase.

As you can see from the figure the consumer moves through the consideration, visit and purchase stage by using customer initiated or firm initiated channels. Customer initiated methods could be direct, referral, or search engine. Firm initiated methods include things like display ads and email advertisements that are pushed on the customer. Each of the effects contributes in a spillover effects that translate into total attractiveness of making a purchase. 

The researchers found that both firm and customer initiated advertising channels contributes to purchasing behavior in some ways. The model helps companies determine where their advertising dollars are likely to receive the highest returns on investment. Paid search engine position is less effective than originally thought and using emails in combination with other organic methods helps consumers find the website and subsequently make a purchase. Understanding how customers find particular products/services and converts them to make a purchase furthers effective spending of revenue budgets on those channels that make the best marketing mix.  

eMarketer (2012). U.S. Digital Ad Spending to Top $37 Billion in 2012 as Market Consolidates. Retrieved June 8th, 2014 from  http://www.emarketer.com/newsroom/index.php/digital-ad-spending-top-37-billion-2012-market-consolidates/

Li, H. &Kannan, P. (2014). Attributing conversions in a multichannel online marketing environment: an empirical model and a field experiment. Journal of Marketing Research, 51 (1). 

Wiesel, T. et. al. (2011). Marketing’s Profit Impact: Quantifying Online and Off-Line Funnel Progression. Marketing Science, 30 (4), 604–611.

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